Forward Liberally

China fears unrest – with good reason.

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on September 14, 2009
Chinese riot cops.

Chinese riot cops.

As much as I dislike China, more specifically the Chinese government, I have to admit they’ve been pretty consistent and candid about one fact:  They have to keep GDP growth at at least 8% or risk facing wide-spread social disorder.

In an article on the McClatchy News site, Tom Lasseter notes the unease Chinese officials and other observers are feeling:

 

Lots of export factories will be shut down, and a lot of migrant workers will lose their jobs,” said Ma Yang, the director of a Beijing-based migrant workers advocacy group called On Action.   Ma paused and considered his words: “If the government does not provide assistance to help them through this economic transition, it will create a lot of social problems.”

 

As a side note, this weekend I was in an REI store (not by my choice) and I happened to notice that all of the products on offer were made in China.  ALL of them.  At last, I found a flashlight made in the good ol’ USA, albeit with a caveat attached:  “Some” of the parts “might” be imported.  SIGH!

A Nation of Dumbasses

Posted in Barack Obama by davidbnava on August 21, 2009
Birthplace of our President.  Really.

Birthplace of our President. Really, no kidding.

According to a new Public Policy Poll, 10% of Americans either believe Hawaii is not part of the United States or are unsure about it. (See, Q4 on Page 2 of release.)  Jesus H. Limping Christ on a Fucking Raft!  We deserve whatever awful fate awaits us.  Perhaps the swine flus will kill off a lot of stupid people and ultimately save us from ourselves.  One can only hope.

“The World is in Trouble” sez German Bank Econ

Posted in Depression 2009, Disaster Planning by davidbnava on August 14, 2009
Weimar Currency.

Weimar Currency.

The top economist at Germany’s D-Bank says the green shoots are about to turn brown.

 

 ‘The World Is in Trouble’: Deutsche Bank Chief Economist

CNBC.com
| 12 Aug 2009 | 09:55 PM ET

The global economy still faces turmoil as governments try to figure out how to move out of fiscal rescue packages, which could lead to another two downturns, Deutsche Bank Chief Economist Norbert Walter said Thursday. In addition, nervousness on the part of major dollar holders could pressure the greenback and lead to a very worrying 2010, Walter said. Norbert said recently in research notes “the world is in trouble.”

“I believe that the rescue packages brought on have been so costly for so many governments that the exit from this fiscal policy will be very painful, very painful indeed,” he said. “Some of us are already talking about a W-shaped recovery. I’d probably talk about a triple-U-shaped recovery because there are so many stumbling blocks here to get out of this.”

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This is US in 10 Years

Posted in Depression 2009, unemployment by davidbnava on August 5, 2009
This of Borats home town.  Yours could look like this sooner than you think.

Think of Borat's home town. Yours could look like this sooner than you think.

I heard someone on the radio the other day who had a new definition of a “Gaffe” – you know, those verbalizations politicians make all the time and wish they hadn’t.  Vice President Biden owns the Gaffe Factory, for example. 

Well, the new definition of a Gaffe is when a politician screws up and accidentally tells the truth.  Turns out the Veep’s recent observations on Russian fall squarely into this new view of gaffsterism.  Biden got it right.  He just regrets saying it out loud.

This is what is in store for the good old USA.  Think I’m nuts?  Check out Dmitry Orlov’s Blog, Cluborlov.  He had a front row seat at Russia’s crack up.  He sees one coming for us, too.

Biden had it right: Rural Russia is dying of poverty, neglect

Tom Lasseter | McClatchy Newspapers

last updated: August 05, 2009 04:31:57 PM

KUVSHINOVO, Russia — The government administrator was bursting with optimism: More children are being born, many rubles will be invested in infrastructure and his region is weathering the global economic storm.

“The situation is so good,” said Boris Zaitsev, a broad-shouldered man who spoke in a confident monotone.

Outside his office, some 170 miles northwest of Moscow, the front steps to the Soviet-era government building are falling into a pile of rubble. Deep, spine-rattling potholes that rival sections of Baghdad riddle the town’s streets. The region’s population has plummeted by more than a quarter. Officials here like to point visitors to Kuvshinovo’s new Russian Orthodox church, an elegant wooden structure. Work inside the church hasn’t been finished, because the money ran out. Looters searching for icons and cash previously torched the office of another local church. Twice. A priest in a nearby village, who’d led an anti-alcoholism campaign, was burned to death with his family. The area around this rural enclave is in steep decline; once-thriving fields are empty and the population is in free-fall. Along with many other towns and villages in vast rural Russia, it’s a microcosm for a country that, according to recent studies, is withering away.

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Four Yemeni soldiers killed as unrest swells

Posted in Depression 2008, Depression 2009 by davidbnava on July 28, 2009

Violence widens in Yemen.

By Hammoud Mounassar (AFP)

Many of the demonstrators have been protesting against poor living conditions in the region.

Many of the demonstrators have been protesting against poor living conditions in the region.

SANAA — Four Yemeni soldiers were killed on Tuesday when armed men attacked a checkpoint in the restive south, in the latest in a series of violent incidents rocking the country, a security official said.  Yemen, the poorest nation in the Arab world, is an Al-Qaeda target and mired in a rebellion by Shiites in the northern province of Saada as well as an upsurge in violence in the south.  The growing strife has led parliament to question the government’s ability to tackle the country’s problems.  The security official said it was unclear who was behind Tuesday’s attack, which took place on the road linking the provinces of Abyan and Hadramaut and which also left another soldier wounded.  A website linked to the defence ministry reported that 10 armed “saboteurs” ambushed the checkpoint. The army has launched a manhunt for the assailants, it quoted a security official as saying.

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Labor Strife Roils South Africa

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on July 28, 2009

Cops are shooting protestors with rubber bullets.

FROM RAWSTORY

(See also the CSM HERE.)

Protesters chant slogans during a strike in Johannesburg July 27, 2009. REUTERS

Protesters chant slogans during a strike in Johannesburg July 27, 2009. REUTERS

South Africa’s government faced more violent protests on Tuesday as police fired rubber bullets on marchers as a strike by tens of thousands of municipal workers entered a second day.  Police broke up a demonstration in an informal settlement in the Mpumalanga province where some 500 residents angry over a lack of service delivery burned down a clinic, a library and a fire engine. They also stoned police, landing a policeman in hospital.

“We had to use rubber bullets to disperse the crowd, I believe there are some injuries but they have not been reported as yet,” said provincial police spokesman Abie Khoabane.

In Thokoza, a Johannesburg township, police dispersed 200 residents with rubber bullets after they blocked off streets and stoned a police cordon in a protest over the lack of service delivery by the municipality. Thokoza has been a hotspot of rioting as a series of service delivery protests have swept South Africa in recent weeks.  Rising discontent over wages and slack service delivery have increased pressure on the new government of President Jacob Zuma in the midst of a recession.

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Mob beats Chinese steel factory executive to death

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on July 28, 2009

China Unrest: Chinese riot police get into position as Uighur protesters gather during a demonstration in Urumqi.

China Unrest: Chinese riot police get into position as Uighur protesters gather during a demonstration in Urumqi, earlier this month.

THIS, from the LAT.

Thousands of workers had gathered in northeastern rust belt city of Tonghua to protest the takeover of their company and threatened layoffs.

July 27, 2009

Chinese state media confirmed Monday that a steel factory executive was beaten to death after thousands of workers gathered to protest the takeover of their company.

Chen Guojun, an executive at Jianlong Steel Holding Co., died Friday after an angry mob in the northeastern rust belt city of Tonghua beat him and then blocked ambulances from reaching him, according to the China Daily.

The protesters worked at the state-owned Tonghua Iron and Steel Group, which was going to be sold to Chen’s privately owned Jianlong Steel. Chen sparked the riot by announcing 30,000 workers would be laid off, the newspaper said.

They dispersed later only after they were assured by authorities the sale would not go through.

– David Pierson

Huge Regional Thrift Set to Collapse

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on July 28, 2009

Guaranty Bank, the second largest in Texas has been ordered to turn itself over to the FDIC.

Bank Failure Friday – Thursday Edition

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on July 6, 2009

Back from a holiday hiatus to find 7 (seven) banks failed.  Normally, they close them on a Friday, but I guess the holiday gave them the opportunity to put the key in the door on these guys a day early.  Interestingly, 6 of the 7 are in my home state of Illinois.  Hmmmmmmmmm.

Why we MUST have a public option

Posted in Barack Obama by davidbnava on June 26, 2009
FDR

FDR

President Obama has the opportunity to reshape our society in the same way that FDR did in the 1930’s.

Unbridled capitalism has clearly failed. The rest of the world has moved beyond us to the detriment of our great mantra – “Competition”. What cripples American business is that they cannot compete with foreign companies that do not have to pay staggering health care costs to private insurance companies in order to cover their workers. And, cover them they must, if they want to retain the best workers possible, after all,  they have to compete in the US labor markets as well.

I am a government worker and, as such, I have a “Cadillac” private plan – Blue Cross.  But, only because I work for an entity with 7,000 employees and an Insurance Office to intercede in beefs over coverage, am I fairly satisfied.  I am sure if I was working in a small law firm, if I had coverage at all, I would be subject to the whims of the coverage thugs at the insurance company.

Medicare has consistently had a 3% rate for administrative costs. My best guess, from reading a lot, is that private health care companies have a 15 – 20% administrative cost. Think about that.

The argument against a public option is that it will result in rationing. Have you dealt with a private health plan lately? I have. If they do not engage in rationing, I’ll kiss your ass in Marshall Fields’ window at high noon. Covered drugs vs. uncovered drugs? HA! That’s just the beginning.

The other argument is that WE – those of us with private plans – would be paying more out of our pocket to cover the people in the public option plan. WE already are. Most of the people who would fit into the public plan are now waiting until they are deathly ill and then seek treatment in an emergency room and the charges are astronomical. They do not pay the bill. The hospital writes this off as uncollectible and passes that loss off to US in the form of higher rates to our private insurance companies.

The snake is eating its own tail.

Bank Failure Friday!!!

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on June 26, 2009

A whopping 4  5 (four – FIVE – they slipped another one in on me after I posted) banks bit the big one today!  Read ‘em and weep, kids!

Metro Pacific Bank, Irvine, CA

Horizon Bank, Pine City, MN

Neighborhood Community Bank, Newnan, GA

Community Bank of West Georgia, Villa Rica, GA

AND

Mirae Bank, Los Angeles, CA

This makes a total of 45 (forty-five) banks closed this year by the FDIC.

Bank Failure Friday – Three This Week

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on June 20, 2009

The End of Empire – The BRIC is hitting the fan, folks!

Posted in Depression 2009, economy by davidbnava on June 16, 2009
Children playing with stacks of cash in Weimar Germany.

Children playing with stacks of cash in Weimar Germany.

Stop reading right now unless you are prepared to be massively depressed. Our empire has fallen.  We are now, officially, the Romans.  In a stunning, devastating piece at TruthDig, Chris Hedges puts together the cataclysmic chain of events to come that many of us have struggled to round up and articulate since September of 2007.  It took a year after that for the situation to get so bad, on September 21, 2008, that the Congressional leadership was called together by the Fed and Treasury and told without a massive cash infusion of tax dollars the whole rotten movie set that was our economy was going to fall on top of us.  Riot, mayhem, violence and disintegration were sure to follow. Out of that meeting was born TARP, TALF, AIG, GM, the stimulus package, etc.

The whole piece is a must read, but some snippets after the jump will curl your hair.

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Day Old Bread – Odds and Ends 06/08/09

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on June 8, 2009

Cant make the payment?  Light a match!
Can’t make the payment? Light a match!
  • Palin kicked out of Republicanist fund raising dinner – again.

 

Bank Failure Friday

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on June 8, 2009

Day Old Bread – Odds and Ends – 06/05/09

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on June 5, 2009

End of the line, Grasshopper.
End of the line, Grasshopper.

Day Old Bread – Odds and Ends – 06/01/09

Posted in Depression 2009, War on Ideas, economy by davidbnava on June 1, 2009

Silver American Eagle
Silver American Eagle
  • Silver has best month since 1987.  Get it NOW.
  • GM filed for bankruptcy today.
  • Willfully asleep at the switch: Bush’s SEC thwarted regulation“After Cox became SEC chairman in mid-2005, he adopted practices that undermined the enforcement division’s efforts to investigate cases of corporate wrongdoing and punish those involved, according to interviews with 19 current and former SEC officials.”
  • Right-wing extremist held in slaying of Kansas abortion doctor ‘Of Dr. Tiller’s death, Mr. Leach said, “To call this a crime is too simplistic,” adding, “There is Christian scripture that would support this.”‘

Day Old Bread – Odds and Ends – 05/29/09

Posted in Depression 2009 by davidbnava on May 29, 2009

Day Old Bread – Odds & Ends – 05/27/09

Posted in Depression 2009, Pandemic Flu by davidbnava on May 27, 2009

Day Old Bread – 05/26/09

Posted in Depression 2009, Pandemic Flu by davidbnava on May 26, 2009
  • The Swine flu is a particularly tricky bug.
  • It looks like you could get both pig flu and seasonal flu at the same time.  (By the way, please note, they’re really only telling the Chinese this, and not us.)
  • Meanwhile, the World Bank is not being shy about the possibility of widespread civil unrest as a result of the Depression.
  • Speaking of the Depression, many think it could go on for three more years.